US strikes Iran by...?
$175.23M Vol.
4m
24d
13h
$175,226,940 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
June 30
June 30
$3.48M Vol.
51%
March 31
March 31
$6.36M Vol.
40%
February 28
February 28
$8.64M Vol.
28%
February 20
February 20
$539.45K Vol.
18%
February 13
February 13
$4.02M Vol.
12%
February 9
February 9
$55.78K Vol.
7%
February 8
February 8
$41.29K Vol.
6%
February 7
February 7
$105.56K Vol.
4%
February 6
February 6
$6.05M Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$2.37M Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".