US strikes Iran by...?
June 30
51%
March 31
40%
February 28
28%
February 20
18%
February 13
12%
February 9
7%
February 8
6%
February 7
4%
February 6
2%
February 5
<1%
December 31
No
February 4
No
February 3
No
February 2
No
February 1
No
January 31
No
January 30
No
January 29
No
January 28
No
January 27
No
January 26
No
January 25
No
January 24
No
January 23
No
January 18
No
January 17
No
January 16
No
January 15
No
January 14
No
January 13
No
January 12
No
January 11
No
$175,241,347 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
97%
Kevin Hassett
<1%
Christopher Waller
<1%
Bill Pulte
<1%
Judy Shelton
2%
David Malpass
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Arthur Laffer
<1%
Larry Kudlow
<1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Ron Paul
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
James Bullard
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
<1%
David Zervos
<1%
Rick Rieder
<1%
Michelle Bowman
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
<1%
Philip Jefferson
<1%
Janet Yellen
<1%
Larry Lindsey
<1%
Barron Trump
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
<1%
$402,040,265 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Oprah Winfrey
<1%
Andy Beshear
3%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Raphael Warnock
<1%
Barack Obama
<1%
George Clooney
<1%
Cory Booker
<1%
Jon Stewart
2%
Tim Walz
<1%
Bernie Sanders
<1%
Mark Kelly
2%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Beto O’Rourke
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
Andrew Yang
<1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
John Fetterman
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Jared Polis
<1%
Mark Cuban
<1%
Phil Murphy
1%
Wes Moore
2%
J.B. Pritzker
3%
LeBron James
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
MrBeast
<1%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Roy Cooper
<1%
Jasmine Crockett
<1%
Kamala Harris
7%
Hillary Clinton
<1%
Gavin Newsom
32%
$601,286,115 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
What price will Bitcoin hit in February?
↑ 150,000
<1%
↑ 125,000
<1%
↑ 120,000
<1%
↑ 115,000
<1%
↑ 110,000
1%
↑ 105,000
2%
↑ 100,000
3%
↑ 95,000
6%
↑ 90,000
11%
↑ 85,000
24%
↓ 70,000
83%
↓ 65,000
50%
↓ 60,000
25%
↓ 55,000
11%
↓ 50,000
6%
↓ 45,000
4%
↓ 40,000
2%
↓ 35,000
1%
↓ 80,000
Yes
↓ 75,000
Yes
$18,422,721 Vol.
Mar 1, 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
25%
Elon Musk
<1%
Gavin Newsom
19%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tim Walz
<1%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Marco Rubio
8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Wes Moore
1%
Ron DeSantis
1%
LeBron James
<1%
Andy Beshear
2%
Glenn Youngkin
<1%
Tucker Carlson
<1%
Kamala Harris
5%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Stephen Smith
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
JB Pritzker
2%
Donald Trump
3%
Jamie Dimon
<1%
Donald Trump Jr.
<1%
Nikki Haley
<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
Greg Abbott
<1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
Michelle Obama
<1%
$255,718,517 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
New Zealand
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
England
14%
France
13%
South Korea
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Brazil
10%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Argentina
11%
Germany
6%
Colombia
2%
Iran
<1%
Portugal
7%
Ghana
<1%
Netherlands
3%
Algeria
<1%
Italy
2%
USA
2%
Canada
<1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Japan
1%
Norway
2%
Tunisia
<1%
Ecuador
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Morocco
2%
South Africa
<1%
Senegal
<1%
Ivory Coast
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Belgium
2%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Austria
<1%
Croatia
1%
Egypt
<1%
Peru
No
$115,369,020 Vol.
Jul 20, 2026
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Donald Trump
5%
J.D. Vance
49%
Rand Paul
<1%
Marco Rubio
12%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2%
Nikki Haley
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
<1%
Greg Abbott
<1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
<1%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Brian Kemp
<1%
Byron Donalds
<1%
Ivanka Trump
<1%
Elise Stefanik
<1%
Josh Hawley
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
<1%
Erika Kirk
<1%
Katie Britt
<1%
John Thune
<1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
<1%
Tom Brady
<1%
Steve Bannon
<1%
$248,742,368 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Fed decision in March?
25 bps decrease
8%
50+ bps decrease
1%
25+ bps increase
2%
No change
91%
$59,022,543 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
2026 NBA Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
39%
Houston Rockets
5%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
6%
New York Knicks
6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
4%
Phoenix Suns
1%
Boston Celtics
6%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Denver Nuggets
12%
San Antonio Spurs
5%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Los Angeles Clippers
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Detroit Pistons
6%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
2%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Miami Heat
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
2%
Washington Wizards
<1%
$230,885,801 Vol.
Jul 1, 2026
What will Trump say this week (February 8)?
Nicki / Nikki / Rapper
18%
Hellhole
51%
Armada
30%
Transgender
62%
Biden's War
25%
TikTok
32%
Stagflation
6%
Kamala
38%
Anarchist
21%
Green Day / Bad Bunny
24%
Autopen / Auto Pen
Yes
Submarine / Helicopter
Yes
Cuba / Cigar
Yes
Hat
Yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again
Yes
No No No
Yes
Six Seven
Yes
$3,169,882 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Bitcoin above ___ on February 5?
96,000
<1%
94,000
<1%
92,000
<1%
90,000
<1%
88,000
<1%
86,000
<1%
84,000
<1%
82,000
<1%
80,000
<1%
78,000
<1%
76,000
2%
$4,267,639 Vol.
06h
37m
19s
What price will Solana hit in February?
↑ 200
<1%
↑ 190
<1%
↑ 180
<1%
↑ 170
2%
↑ 160
3%
↑ 150
2%
↑ 140
5%
↑ 130
11%
↑ 120
18%
↓ 90
>99%
↓ 80
53%
↓ 70
28%
↓ 60
14%
↓ 50
4%
↓ 40
2%
↓ 30
1%
↓ 20
<1%
↓ 110
Yes
↓ 100
Yes
$4,450,652 Vol.
Mar 1, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?
740+
<1%
720-739
<1%
700-719
<1%
680-699
<1%
660-679
<1%
640-659
<1%
620-639
<1%
600-619
<1%
580-599
<1%
560-579
<1%
540-559
<1%
520-539
<1%
500-519
<1%
480-499
<1%
460-479
<1%
440-459
<1%
420-439
<1%
400-419
<1%
380-399
<1%
360-379
2%
340-359
8%
320-339
33%
300-319
39%
280-299
16%
260-279
2%
240-259
<1%
220-239
No
200-219
No
180-199
No
160-179
No
140-159
No
120-139
No
100-119
No
80-99
No
60-79
No
40-59
No
20-39
No
<20
No
$10,270,293 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
English Premier League Winner
Brentford
<1%
Newcastle
<1%
Crystal Palace
<1%
Nottm Forest
<1%
Brighton
<1%
Liverpool
<1%
Arsenal
81%
Man City
15%
Burnley
<1%
Chelsea
<1%
Sunderland
<1%
Man United
2%
Tottenham
<1%
Aston Villa
2%
Bournemouth
<1%
Everton
<1%
West Ham
<1%
Fulham
<1%
Leeds
<1%
Wolves
No
$216,377,057 Vol.
May 27, 2026
La Liga Winner
Celta Vigo
<1%
Oviedo
<1%
Betis
<1%
Mallorca
<1%
Osasuna
<1%
Levante
<1%
Rayo Vallecano
<1%
Real Madrid
39%
Barcelona
61%
Villarreal
<1%
Athletic Bilbao
<1%
Real Sociedad
<1%
Girona
<1%
Elche
<1%
Valencia
<1%
Sevilla
<1%
Espanyol
<1%
Getafe
<1%
Alaves
<1%
Atletico Madrid
<1%
$74,079,435 Vol.
May 30, 2026
What price will Ethereum hit in February?
↑ 5,000
<1%
↑ 4,400
<1%
↑ 4,200
<1%
↑ 4,000
<1%
↑ 3,800
1%
↑ 3,600
2%
↑ 3,400
2%
↑ 3,200
4%
↑ 3,000
7%
↑ 2,800
15%
↓ 2,000
74%
↓ 1,800
42%
↓ 1,600
22%
↓ 1,400
12%
↓ 1,200
4%
↓ 1,000
1%
↓ 800
1%
↓ 2,600
Yes
↓ 2,400
Yes
↓ 2,200
Yes
$5,736,829 Vol.
Mar 1, 2026
US next strikes Iran on...?
February 28
1%
No strike by February 28
72%
February 27
<1%
February 26
<1%
February 25
<1%
February 24
<1%
February 23
<1%
February 22
<1%
February 21
2%
February 20
1%
February 19
<1%
February 18
<1%
February 17
<1%
February 16
<1%
February 15
<1%
February 14
2%
February 13
3%
February 12
1%
February 11
<1%
February 10
1%
February 9
1%
February 8
2%
February 7
3%
February 6
2%
February 5
<1%
February 4
<1%
February 3
<1%
January 2026
No
February 2
No
February 1
No
$6,748,571 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
NBA MVP
Trae Young
<1%
Kawhi Leonard
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Ja Morant
<1%
Devin Booker
<1%
Cooper Flagg
<1%
Tyrese Maxey
<1%
Nikola Jokic
17%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
68%
Luka Doncic
11%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Jalen Brunson
<1%
Cade Cunningham
3%
Donovan Mitchell
<1%
Kevin Durant
<1%
Paolo Banchero
<1%
Stephen Curry
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Joel Embiid
<1%
Jaylen Brown
<1%
$20,711,050 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
5%
chance
$2,104,972 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets February 3 - February 10, 2026?
740+
<1%
720-739
<1%
700-719
<1%
680-699
<1%
660-679
<1%
640-659
<1%
620-639
<1%
600-619
<1%
580-599
<1%
560-579
<1%
540-559
<1%
520-539
<1%
500-519
<1%
480-499
1%
460-479
2%
440-459
2%
420-439
5%
400-419
6%
380-399
9%
360-379
14%
340-359
17%
320-339
19%
300-319
15%
280-299
7%
260-279
4%
240-259
2%
220-239
<1%
200-219
<1%
180-199
<1%
160-179
<1%
140-159
<1%
120-139
<1%
100-119
<1%
80-99
<1%
60-79
No
40-59
No
20-39
No
<20
No
$5,296,606 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026