Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑12.5k
13%
↑10k
29%
↑7.5k
38%
↑5k
56%
↑2k
95%
↑1k
>99%
↑500
Yes
$6,531,742 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
20+
7%
17–19
12%
14–16
25%
11–13
30%
8–10
22%
5–7
7%
<5
<1%
$520,269 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
January 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.19ºC
1%
1.15–1.19ºC
<1%
1.10–1.14ºC
34%
1.05–1.09ºC
64%
1.00–1.04ºC
1%
<1.00ºC
<1%
$792,837 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
NASA Artemis II
February 28
<1%
Artemis II explodes?
9%
March 31
45%
February 7
<1%
$285,957 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+
50%
7
20%
6
14%
5
11%
4
4%
3
3%
2
2%
1
No
0
No
$985,214 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
6 or lower
7%
5
5%
4
39%
3
8%
2
27%
1
14%
$1,208,116 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Precipitation in NYC in February?
>6"
6%
5-6"
15%
4-5"
16%
3-4"
18%
2-3"
29%
<2"
30%
$42,833 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
200 or more
49%
180-199
21%
160-179
21%
140-159
7%
120-139
8%
100-119
6%
<100
7%
$38,598 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 2 - Feb 8?
>5
<1%
5
<1%
4
<1%
3
<1%
2
4%
1
26%
0
69%
$98,605 Vol.
Feb 8, 2026
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10%
chance
$1,675,415 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
11%
chance
$15,787 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Precipitation in Seattle in February?
>8"
15%
7-8"
4%
6-7"
8%
5-6"
19%
4-5"
13%
3-4"
39%
<3"
23%
$43,531 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
5+
4%
4
4%
3
5%
2
10%
1
57%
0
21%
$286,876 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
>1.24ºC
33%
1.20–1.24ºC
31%
1.15–1.19ºC
21%
1.10–1.14ºC
6%
1.05–1.09ºC
3%
<1.05ºC
3%
$81,292 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
1200
22%
1000
77%
800
98%
$112,003 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
6%
chance
$476,411 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
3%
Stripe
<1%
SpaceX
86%
OpenAI
5%
Kraken
2%
Anthropic
4%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
$65,680 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
13%
chance
$38,485 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
84%
chance
$13,962 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 4, 2026?
70+
<1%
60 - 70
97%
50 - 60
<1%
40 - 50
<1%
30 - 40
<1%
<30
1%
$43,233 Vol.
12h
15m
48s