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Fed decision in March?

25 bps decrease

8%

50+ bps decrease

1%

25+ bps increase

2%

No change

91%

$59,022,543 Vol.

Mar 18, 2026

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Largest Company End of February?

NVIDIA

69%

Microsoft

<1%

Apple

19%

Alphabet

10%

Tesla

<1%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

Amazon

<1%

$2,310,565 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

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3rd largest company end of February?

NVIDIA

11%

Microsoft

<1%

Apple

39%

Alphabet

47%

Tesla

<1%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

Amazon

<1%

Oracle

<1%

$868,368 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

12+ (300+ bps)

2%

11 (275 bps)

<1%

10 (250 bps)

<1%

9 (225 bps)

<1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

7 (175 bps)

2%

6 (150 bps)

4%

5 (125 bps)

6%

4 (100 bps)

14%

3 (75 bps)

24%

2 (50 bps)

26%

1 (25 bps)

16%

0 (0 bps)

8%

$4,235,857 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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2nd Largest company end of February?

Microsoft

<1%

Alphabet

41%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

NVIDIA

11%

Apple

48%

Tesla

<1%

Amazon

<1%

$571,279 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

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Largest Company end of March?

NVIDIA

62%

Apple

13%

Tesla

<1%

Amazon

<1%

Microsoft

<1%

Alphabet

20%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

$1,582,558 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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2nd largest company end of March?

Microsoft

1%

Alphabet

44%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

NVIDIA

24%

Apple

30%

Tesla

<1%

Amazon

<1%

$393,701 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Largest Company end of December 2026?

Microsoft

3%

Alphabet

39%

Saudi Aramco

1%

NVIDIA

27%

Apple

22%

Tesla

4%

Amazon

1%

$521,189 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

80%

chance

$43,132 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

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Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA

45%

Apple

19%

Tesla

<1%

Amazon

<1%

Microsoft

2%

Alphabet

35%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

$1,530,567 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Bank of Japan Decision in March?

Decrease rates

<1%

25 bps increase

18%

50+ bps increase

<1%

No change

81%

$271,123 Vol.

Mar 19, 2026

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Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Cut–Pause–Pause

90%

Other

1%

Cut–Pause–Cut

9%

Cut–Cut–Pause

No

Pause–Pause–Pause

No

Pause–Cut–Pause

No

Cut–Cut–Cut

No

Pause–Pause–Cut

No

Pause–Cut–Cut

No

$769,157 Vol.

Mar 18, 2026

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3rd largest company end of March?

Apple

41%

Tesla

1%

Oracle

<1%

NVIDIA

8%

Alphabet

30%

Microsoft

3%

Saudi Aramco

<1%

Amazon

2%

$134,513 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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January Inflation US - Annual (Lower Brackets)

≤2.1%

<1%

2.6%

15%

2.5%

30%

2.4%

36%

2.3%

11%

2.2%

3%

≥2.7%

9%

$237,869 Vol.

Feb 11, 2026

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Fed Decision in June?

25 bps decrease

51%

25 bps increase

2%

50+ bps increase

2%

50+ bps decrease

7%

No change

40%

$142,862 Vol.

Jun 17, 2026

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Number of TSA Passengers February 6?

>2.3M

63%

2.1M-2.3M

33%

1.9M-2.1M

12%

1.7M-1.9M

2%

1.5M-1.7M

2%

<1.5M

2%

$14,637 Vol.

13h

37m

15s

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Fed decision in April?

25 bps decrease

18%

50+ bps decrease

3%

25+ bps increase

2%

No change

77%

$1,197,331 Vol.

Apr 29, 2026

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Another US bank failure by February 28?

16%

chance

$38,630 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

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Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Decrease rates

<1%

25 bps increase

37%

50+ bps increase

4%

No change

61%

$16,795 Vol.

Apr 28, 2026

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Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

5%

chance

$375,022 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026