
Which cities face tornado risk on October 12?

Oct 13, 2026
$2.82K Vol.

End date: Oct 13, 2026
Outcomes

Des Moines, IA
$60 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Wichita, KS
$60 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Columbus, OH
$70 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Charlotte, NC
$70 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Denver, CO
$70 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Oklahoma City, OK
$70 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Fort Worth, TX
$70 Vol.
New
28%
28%

St. Louis, MO
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Austin, TX
$70 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Indianapolis, IN
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Nashville, TN
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Louisville, KY
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Minneapolis, MN
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Tampa, FL
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Birmingham, AL
$60 Vol.
New
25%
25%

Chicago, IL
$1.23K Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Little Rock, AR
$110 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

New Orleans, LA
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

San Antonio, TX
$75 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Houston, TX
$75 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Dallas, TX
$70 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Memphis, TN
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Atlanta, GA
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Kansas City, MO
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Omaha, NE
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on October 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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