
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Nov 4, 2026
$7.95K Vol.

End date: Nov 4, 2026
Outcomes

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$762.25 Vol.
New
57%
57%

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$836.11 Vol.
New
32%
32%

Oil < $80; R Senate
$4.73K Vol.
New
6%
6%

Oil < $80; D Senate
$1.62K Vol.
New
6%
6%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Oil < $80; R Senate" if oil is less than $80 at the close of trading on November 2, 2026, and the Republican Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.
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