
Which cities face tornado risk on October 18?

Oct 19, 2026
$3.92K Vol.

End date: Oct 19, 2026
Outcomes

Indianapolis, IN
$253.96 Vol.
New
50%
50%

New Orleans, LA
$20 Vol.
New
50%
50%

Columbus, OH
$195.48 Vol.
New
42%
42%

Fort Worth, TX
$380.37 Vol.
New
4%
4%

Louisville, KY
$20 Vol.
New
2%
2%

Omaha, NE
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Dallas, TX
$185.46 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Des Moines, IA
$178.51 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Nashville, TN
$130 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Minneapolis, MN
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Chicago, IL
$205.48 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Houston, TX
$205.48 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

San Antonio, TX
$213.26 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Austin, TX
$233.15 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Denver, CO
$175.36 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Oklahoma City, OK
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Wichita, KS
$293.26 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Tampa, FL
$211.31 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

St. Louis, MO
$288.89 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Birmingham, AL
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Little Rock, AR
$340 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Charlotte, NC
$250 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Memphis, TN
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Atlanta, GA
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Kansas City, MO
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on October 18, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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