
Which cities face tornado risk on October 20?

Oct 21, 2026
$12.7K Vol.

End date: Oct 21, 2026
Outcomes

Indianapolis, IN
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Denver, CO
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Memphis, TN
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Atlanta, GA
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

New Orleans, LA
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Chicago, IL
$900 Vol.
New
1%
1%

San Antonio, TX
$1.1K Vol.
New
1%
1%

Dallas, TX
$900 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Austin, TX
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Fort Worth, TX
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Columbus, OH
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Charlotte, NC
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Nashville, TN
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Oklahoma City, OK
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Louisville, KY
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Kansas City, MO
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Omaha, NE
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Minneapolis, MN
$400 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Tampa, FL
$360 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Des Moines, IA
$420 Vol.
New
1%
1%

Houston, TX
$1.1K Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Wichita, KS
$410 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

St. Louis, MO
$430 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Little Rock, AR
$440 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Birmingham, AL
$640 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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