
How many US births in 2026?

May 1, 2027
$5.04K Vol.
Outcomes

<3.50M
$81.47 Vol.
4%
4%

3.50M–3.53M
$803.81 Vol.
9%
9%

3.53M–3.56M
$848.24 Vol.
37%
37%

3.56M–3.59M
$928.84 Vol.
25%
25%

3.59M–3.62M
$1.74K Vol.
16%
16%

3.62M–3.65M
$315.81 Vol.
9%
9%

3.65M+
$323.01 Vol.
10%
10%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of births in the United States in 2026, as reported in the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) annual provisional births report for 2026, meaning the first NCHS report that presents provisional birth data for the full calendar year 2026, regardless of its exact title or format (see 2025 example, “Births: Provisional Data for 2025”: www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr043.pdf), estimated to be released in April 2027.
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