Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?
Dec 1, 2026
$10.62K Vol.
Outcomes
On or prior to October 31
$383.45 Vol.
4%
4%
November 1
$178.97 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 2
$197.51 Vol.
2%
2%
November 3
$177.26 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 4
$283.89 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 5
$246.5 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 6
$416.07 Vol.
16%
16%
November 7
$339.46 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 8
$234.76 Vol.
16%
16%
November 9
$204.31 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 10
$264.88 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 11
$184.49 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 12
$280.75 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 13
$372.12 Vol.
4%
4%
November 14
$251.32 Vol.
25%
25%
November 15
$187.37 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 16
$325.93 Vol.
30%
30%
November 17
$354.47 Vol.
27%
27%
November 18
$299.61 Vol.
21%
21%
November 19
$290.66 Vol.
10%
10%
November 20
$780.16 Vol.
38%
38%
November 21
$400.07 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 22
$298.53 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 23
$296.47 Vol.
21%
21%
November 24
$258.46 Vol.
16%
16%
November 25
$225.48 Vol.
<1%
<1%
November 26
$496.7 Vol.
25%
25%
November 27
$282.48 Vol.
21%
21%
November 28
$257.62 Vol.
1%
1%
November 29
$204.96 Vol.
<1%
<1%
No release by November 30
$1.42K Vol.
36%
36%
November 30
$232.09 Vol.
1%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public.
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