Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?
Jul 1, 2027
$13.7K Vol.
Outcomes
Top 10
$3.08K Vol.
96%
96%
Top 5
$2.69K Vol.
91%
91%
Top 3
$2.18K Vol.
71%
71%
Top 1
$5.76K Vol.
27%
27%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable model (5.2+) added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) holds a rank within the specified top ranks when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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