How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?
Dec 1, 2026
$3.64K Vol.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by November 30?
End date: Dec 1, 2026
Outcomes
6.5+
$1.11K Vol.
New
97%
97%
7.0+
$835.45 Vol.
New
67%
67%
7.5+
$387.55 Vol.
New
39%
39%
8.0+
$445.76 Vol.
New
12%
12%
8.5+
$750.05 Vol.
New
5%
5%
9.0+
$102 Vol.
New
4%
4%
Rules
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
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