Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
Dec 4, 2026
$3.08K Vol.
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
End date: Dec 4, 2026
Outcomes
Mexico
$1.83K Vol.
55%
55%
Japan
$325.41 Vol.
53%
53%
Indonesia
$40 Vol.
49%
49%
United States
$0 Vol.
40%
40%
Chile
$0 Vol.
36%
36%
Philippines
$20 Vol.
35%
35%
Peru
$860.12 Vol.
25%
25%
Rules
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by December 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
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