Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
Jan 1, 2028
$3.93K Vol.
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?
End date: Jan 1, 2028
Outcomes
Dem sweep; No Phase II
$506.64 Vol.
54%
54%
No Dem sweep; No Phase II
$515.52 Vol.
23%
23%
Dem sweep; Phase II deal
$1.94K Vol.
16%
16%
No Dem sweep; Phase II deal
$968.33 Vol.
5%
5%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether the Democratic Party wins control of both the United States House of Representatives and the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election and (2) whether Israel and Hamas reach an agreement on the second phase of their ceasefire by the end of 2027.
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