When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
Jan 2, 2027
$8.78K Vol.
Outcomes
Before November 15, 2026
$3.1K Vol.
57%
57%
November 15 - 30, 2026
$1.82K Vol.
31%
31%
December 1 - 15, 2026
$739.38 Vol.
9%
9%
December 16 - 31, 2026
$972.65 Vol.
4%
4%
Does not return by January 1, 2027
$2.15K Vol.
4%
4%
Rules
This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
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