
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?

Dec 1, 2026
$5.08K Vol.

End date: Dec 1, 2026
Outcomes

Below 5.20%
$273.35 Vol.
50%
50%

Below 5.17%
$876.57 Vol.
25%
25%

Below 5.14%
$697.72 Vol.
15%
15%

Below 5.11%
$275.35 Vol.
9%
9%

Below 4.99%
$238.68 Vol.
9%
9%

Below 5.02%
$1.07K Vol.
9%
9%

Below 5.05%
$804.98 Vol.
7%
7%

Below 4.96%
$66.33 Vol.
6%
6%

Below 5.08%
$770.62 Vol.
5%
5%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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