
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

Dec 31, 2026
$1.86K Vol.

End date: Dec 31, 2026
Outcomes

November 8
$368.99 Vol.
New
18%
18%

November 15
$352.88 Vol.
New
43%
43%

November 22
$609.41 Vol.
New
52%
52%

November 30
$283.06 Vol.
New
70%
70%

December 31
$246.89 Vol.
New
83%
83%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran is completed, where the first day of that period is between market creation and the specified date (Iran Standard Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
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