2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Nov 3, 2026
$135.68K Vol.
Outcomes
Democrats 8-10%
$14.5K Vol.
28%
28%
Democrats 6-8%
$15.67K Vol.
21%
21%
Democrats 10-12%
$8.97K Vol.
20%
20%
Democrats 4-6%
$7.01K Vol.
12%
12%
Democrats 12-14%
$4.6K Vol.
7%
7%
Democrats 2-4%
$15.64K Vol.
6%
6%
Republicans 0-2%
$5.93K Vol.
3%
3%
Republicans 2-4%
$30.41K Vol.
3%
3%
Democrats 0-2%
$18.27K Vol.
2%
2%
Democrats 14-16%
$3.41K Vol.
2%
2%
Democrats 16%+
$3.56K Vol.
1%
1%
Republicans 6%+
$3.96K Vol.
<1%
<1%
Republicans 4-6%
$3.75K Vol.
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
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