2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Nov 4, 2026
$181.89K Vol.
Outcomes
Democrats 8-10%
$17.89K Vol.
29%
29%
Democrats 10-12%
$12.24K Vol.
22%
22%
Democrats 6-8%
$19.77K Vol.
16%
16%
Democrats 12-14%
$8.29K Vol.
13%
13%
Democrats 4-6%
$14.64K Vol.
8%
8%
Democrats 14-16%
$6.34K Vol.
4%
4%
Democrats 16%+
$7.29K Vol.
4%
4%
Democrats 2-4%
$21.24K Vol.
4%
4%
Republicans 0-2%
$7.33K Vol.
3%
3%
Republicans 2-4%
$31.66K Vol.
2%
2%
Republicans 4-6%
$6.25K Vol.
2%
2%
Democrats 0-2%
$23.1K Vol.
2%
2%
Republicans 6%+
$5.86K Vol.
1%
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
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