
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027
$204.28K Vol.

End date: Jan 1, 2027
Outcomes

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$64.48K Vol.
17%
17%

Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$5.7K Vol.
9%
9%

Juan Pablo Ledezma
$3.71K Vol.
9%
9%

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
$8.15K Vol.
7%
7%

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
$60.78K Vol.
6%
6%

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
$13.25K Vol.
6%
6%

Iván Mordisco
$2.08K Vol.
6%
6%

Juan Reyes Mejía González
$40.17K Vol.
4%
4%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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