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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$402.04M Vol.

10m

28d

13h

$402,039,408 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

Kevin Warsh

$30.7M Vol.

97%

Kevin Hassett

$23.01M Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$17.12M Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23.58M Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$52.5M Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$5.97M Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2.43M Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20.97M Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10.12M Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$23.49M Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12.39M Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$12.28M Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$14.82M Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2.45M Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4.15M Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17.77M Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$19.07M Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$15.87M Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2.57M Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10.7M Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21.09M Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5.9M Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20.74M Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23.3M Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$9.07M Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.