
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027
$55.58M Vol.
Outcomes

0 (0 bps)
$9.5M Vol.
97%
97%

1 (25 bps)
$3.69M Vol.
<1%
<1%

2 (50 bps)
$3.53M Vol.
<1%
<1%

3 (75 bps)
$3.02M Vol.
<1%
<1%

4 (100 bps)
$2.83M Vol.
<1%
<1%

5 (125 bps)
$3.07M Vol.
<1%
<1%

6 (150 bps)
$4.25M Vol.
<1%
<1%

7 (175 bps)
$3.54M Vol.
<1%
<1%

8 (200 bps)
$3.32M Vol.
<1%
<1%

9 (225 bps)
$4.32M Vol.
<1%
<1%

10 (250 bps)
$4.99M Vol.
<1%
<1%

11 (275 bps)
$5.33M Vol.
<1%
<1%

12+ (300+ bps)
$4.18M Vol.
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Comments (128)
Comments (128)