Event icon

Grok 4.20 released on...?

$99.29K Vol.

8d

10h

52m

$99,287 Vol.

Feb 14, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

February 14

$2.12K Vol.

4%

No release by February 14

$17.45K Vol.

92%

February 13

$1.53K Vol.

2%

February 12

$1.62K Vol.

<1%

February 11

$1.33K Vol.

<1%

February 10

$1.69K Vol.

<1%

February 9

$1.52K Vol.

2%

February 8

$1.9K Vol.

<1%

February 7

$13.89K Vol.

<1%

February 6

$1.78K Vol.

<1%

February 5

$4.64K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.