
Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025?
$4.08K Vol.
10d
10h
51m
$4,081 Vol.
Feb 16, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
≤0.0%
≤0.0%
$1.59K Vol.
17%
1.6%+
1.6%+
$274.22 Vol.
2%
1.3–1.5%
1.3–1.5%
$529.11 Vol.
2%
1.0–1.2%
1.0–1.2%
$363.11 Vol.
18%
0.7–0.9%
0.7–0.9%
$452.71 Vol.
22%
0.4–0.6%
0.4–0.6%
$483.15 Vol.
38%
0.1–0.3%
0.1–0.3%
$388.1 Vol.
18%
Rules
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Year-over-Year, %) in the fourth quarter of 2025, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office’s Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for release on February 16, 2026.