xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$5.13K Vol.
4m
24d
10h
$5,127 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
50%+
50%+
$85.51 Vol.
13%
40%+
40%+
$2.52K Vol.
52%
30%+
30%+
$2.34K Vol.
60%
25%+
25%+
$185.78 Vol.
69%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by FJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".