Event icon

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$25K Vol.

1m

23d

9h

$24,998 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

March

Outcome

% Chance

Anthropic

$2.19K Vol.

8%

Alibaba

$1.29K Vol.

1%

Z.ai

$1.47K Vol.

1%

DeepSeek

$3.62K Vol.

4%

Mistral

$1.67K Vol.

2%

Google

$4.22K Vol.

49%

OpenAI

$4.13K Vol.

10%

Baidu

$1.16K Vol.

8%

xAI

$1.66K Vol.

14%

Moonshot

$1.15K Vol.

2%

Meituan

$2.46K Vol.

3%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.