Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
$316.06K Vol.
4m
24d
10h
$316,065 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
Anthropic
Anthropic
$75.93K Vol.
5%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$29.23K Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$49.6K Vol.
1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$48.23K Vol.
<1%
xAI
xAI
$20.5K Vol.
10%
None by June 30
None by June 30
$18.49K Vol.
14%
Mistral
Mistral
$16.27K Vol.
<1%
$41.13K Vol.
67%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$16.69K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.