How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
Nov 1, 2026
$4.71K Vol.
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
End date: Nov 1, 2026
Outcomes
6.5+
$708.17 Vol.
90%
90%
7.0+
$449.81 Vol.
63%
63%
7.5+
$241.12 Vol.
29%
29%
8.0+
$1.91K Vol.
9%
9%
8.5+
$1.31K Vol.
<1%
<1%
9.0+
$90 Vol.
1%
1%
Rules
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude equal to or above the threshold listed in the option's title occurring anywhere in the world, with an origin time between market creation and October 31, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
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