Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
Nov 4, 2026
$2.48K Vol.
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
End date: Nov 4, 2026
Outcomes
Indonesia
$576.26 Vol.
65%
65%
Japan
$286 Vol.
47%
47%
Philippines
$20 Vol.
33%
33%
Mexico
$648.19 Vol.
32%
32%
United States
$400.43 Vol.
30%
30%
Chile
$160 Vol.
29%
29%
Peru
$387.88 Vol.
23%
23%
Rules
This market resolves to "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by November 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
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