
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?

Nov 1, 2026
$2.52K Vol.

End date: Nov 1, 2026
Outcomes

Below 4.73%
$390 Vol.
New
72%
72%

Below 4.70%
$140 Vol.
New
64%
64%

Below 4.67%
$446.36 Vol.
New
51%
51%

Below 4.64%
$616.72 Vol.
New
38%
38%

Below 4.60%
$230 Vol.
New
31%
31%

Below 4.55%
$141 Vol.
New
28%
28%

Below 4.50%
$122 Vol.
New
28%
28%

Below 4.45%
$195.97 Vol.
New
22%
22%

Below 4.40%
$237.92 Vol.
New
19%
19%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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