
Which cities face tornado risk on October 6?

Oct 7, 2026
$2.42K Vol.

End date: Oct 7, 2026
Outcomes

Tampa, FL
$150 Vol.
New
49%
49%

Chicago, IL
$20 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Wichita, KS
$35 Vol.
New
3%
3%

New Orleans, LA
$220 Vol.
New
3%
3%

Austin, TX
$128.28 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Atlanta, GA
$220 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Kansas City, MO
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Minneapolis, MN
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Des Moines, IA
$990 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Little Rock, AR
$40 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Fort Worth, TX
$220 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Houston, TX
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

San Antonio, TX
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Dallas, TX
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Columbus, OH
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Charlotte, NC
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Indianapolis, IN
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Denver, CO
$30 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Nashville, TN
$30 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Oklahoma City, OK
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Memphis, TN
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Louisville, KY
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Omaha, NE
$20 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

St. Louis, MO
$40 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%

Birmingham, AL
$60 Vol.
New
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on October 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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