
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?

Dec 1, 2026
$2.83K Vol.

End date: Dec 1, 2026
Outcomes

10+
$83.02 Vol.
54%
54%

20+
$332.1 Vol.
48%
48%

30+
$847.36 Vol.
11%
11%

40+
$1K Vol.
6%
6%

50+
$568.07 Vol.
4%
4%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and November 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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