US next strikes Iran on...?
$6.75M Vol.
22d
13h
40m
$6,748,050 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 28
February 28
$161.72K Vol.
1%
No strike by February 28
No strike by February 28
$212.69K Vol.
72%
February 27
February 27
$147.45K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$184.98K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$147.4K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$159.15K Vol.
<1%
February 23
February 23
$145.69K Vol.
<1%
February 22
February 22
$151.49K Vol.
<1%
February 21
February 21
$128.73K Vol.
2%
February 20
February 20
$128.98K Vol.
1%
February 19
February 19
$155.77K Vol.
<1%
February 18
February 18
$163.92K Vol.
<1%
February 17
February 17
$165.39K Vol.
<1%
February 16
February 16
$144.13K Vol.
<1%
February 15
February 15
$155.69K Vol.
<1%
February 14
February 14
$145.89K Vol.
2%
February 13
February 13
$210.24K Vol.
3%
February 12
February 12
$156.34K Vol.
1%
February 11
February 11
$172.42K Vol.
<1%
February 10
February 10
$170.27K Vol.
1%
February 9
February 9
$172.78K Vol.
1%
February 8
February 8
$198.71K Vol.
2%
February 7
February 7
$226.1K Vol.
3%
February 6
February 6
$253.96K Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$241.06K Vol.
<1%
February 4
February 4
$368.01K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$432.92K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).