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Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$1.95M Vol.

1m

23d

10h

$1,953,250 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Resolution

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Event icon

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

$1.95M Vol.

1m

23d

10h

$1,953,250 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Resolution

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".