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Event icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$5.61M Vol.

10m

28d

10h

$5,614,383 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

2027

Outcome

% Chance

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$294.67K Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Australia PM

$199.86K Vol.

<1%

Starmer - UK PM

$212.49K Vol.

10%

Lecornu - France PM

$234.48K Vol.

<1%

Abbas - President of Palestine

$170.58K Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

$184.02K Vol.

<1%

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

$193.08K Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$174.78K Vol.

<1%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$192.95K Vol.

<1%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$199.27K Vol.

<1%

Trump - USA President

$288.07K Vol.

<1%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$220.53K Vol.

<1%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$240.78K Vol.

<1%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$212.63K Vol.

<1%

Macron - France President

$154.45K Vol.

<1%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$171.28K Vol.

<1%

Putin - Russia President

$180.19K Vol.

<1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$194.62K Vol.

<1%

Petro - Colombia President

$189.21K Vol.

<1%

None before 2027

$196.33K Vol.

<1%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$262.47K Vol.

4%

Newsom - California Governor

$221.25K Vol.

<1%

Milei - Argentina President

$179.24K Vol.

<1%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$209.73K Vol.

2%

Takaichi - Japan PM

$203.57K Vol.

<1%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$217.48K Vol.

81%

Merz - German Chancellor

$216.33K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.