US next strikes Iran on...?
$6.8M Vol.
22d
10h
52m
$6,797,457 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 28
February 28
$162.62K Vol.
1%
No strike by February 28
No strike by February 28
$213.74K Vol.
73%
February 27
February 27
$149.39K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$186.15K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$149.47K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$160.23K Vol.
<1%
February 23
February 23
$146.76K Vol.
<1%
February 22
February 22
$152.35K Vol.
<1%
February 21
February 21
$129.75K Vol.
2%
February 20
February 20
$129.95K Vol.
1%
February 19
February 19
$156.78K Vol.
<1%
February 18
February 18
$164.76K Vol.
<1%
February 17
February 17
$166.26K Vol.
<1%
February 16
February 16
$144.99K Vol.
<1%
February 15
February 15
$156.66K Vol.
<1%
February 14
February 14
$147.76K Vol.
2%
February 13
February 13
$212.59K Vol.
2%
February 12
February 12
$157.31K Vol.
1%
February 11
February 11
$174.66K Vol.
1%
February 10
February 10
$171.43K Vol.
2%
February 9
February 9
$174.53K Vol.
1%
February 8
February 8
$200.95K Vol.
2%
February 7
February 7
$229.19K Vol.
3%
February 6
February 6
$260.02K Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$251.03K Vol.
<1%
February 4
February 4
$368.04K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$433.92K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).