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Event icon

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$5.61M Vol.

10m

28d

12h

$5,605,044 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

2027

Outcome

% Chance

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$294.58K Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Australia PM

$199.77K Vol.

<1%

Starmer - UK PM

$211.07K Vol.

9%

Lecornu - France PM

$232.31K Vol.

<1%

Abbas - President of Palestine

$170.49K Vol.

<1%

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

$183.93K Vol.

<1%

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

$192.99K Vol.

<1%

al-Sharaa - Syria President

$174.68K Vol.

<1%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$192.59K Vol.

<1%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$199.18K Vol.

<1%

Trump - USA President

$287.87K Vol.

<1%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$220.44K Vol.

<1%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$240.69K Vol.

<1%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$212.17K Vol.

<1%

Macron - France President

$154.36K Vol.

<1%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$171.19K Vol.

<1%

Putin - Russia President

$180.1K Vol.

<1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$194.53K Vol.

<1%

Petro - Colombia President

$187.61K Vol.

<1%

None before 2027

$196.24K Vol.

<1%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$262.37K Vol.

3%

Newsom - California Governor

$221.16K Vol.

<1%

Milei - Argentina President

$179.15K Vol.

<1%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$209.63K Vol.

3%

Takaichi - Japan PM

$203.08K Vol.

<1%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$216.68K Vol.

82%

Merz - German Chancellor

$216.24K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.