2026 January 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$428.72K Vol.
4d
12h
13m
$428,721 Vol.
Feb 10, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
4th or lower
4th or lower
$150.07K Vol.
99%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest
$156.89K Vol.
<1%
2nd hottest
2nd hottest
$55.75K Vol.
<1%
1st hottest
1st hottest
$66.01K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 versus the data points available for all other Januaries on record.