How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$286.88K Vol.
1y
1m
23d
$286,876 Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
Outcome
% Chance
5+
5+
$5.94K Vol.
4%
4
4
$8.78K Vol.
4%
3
3
$3.65K Vol.
5%
2
2
$10.26K Vol.
10%
1
1
$151.71K Vol.
57%
0
0
$106.54K Vol.
21%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.