2026 February 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$65.33K Vol.
1m
2d
12h
$65,325 Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
4th or lower
4th or lower
$17.01K Vol.
71%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest
$40.88K Vol.
25%
2nd hottest
2nd hottest
$4.67K Vol.
1%
1st hottest
1st hottest
$2.75K Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 versus the data points available for all other Februaries on record.