Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$1.21M Vol.
10m
28d
12h
$1,208,116 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
6 or lower
6 or lower
$186.69K Vol.
7%
5
5
$512.02K Vol.
5%
4
4
$120.17K Vol.
39%
3
3
$93.77K Vol.
8%
2
2
$138.49K Vol.
27%
1
1
$156.98K Vol.
14%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.