Event icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$985.21K Vol.

4m

24d

12h

$985,214 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

Outcome

% Chance

8+

$391.38K Vol.

50%

7

$180.17K Vol.

20%

6

$55.08K Vol.

14%

5

$36.76K Vol.

11%

4

$58.33K Vol.

4%

3

$79.25K Vol.

3%

2

$47.58K Vol.

2%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.