How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$4.24M Vol.
10m
28d
12h
$4,236,745 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
12+ (300+ bps)
12+ (300+ bps)
$312.6K Vol.
2%
11 (275 bps)
11 (275 bps)
$303.19K Vol.
<1%
10 (250 bps)
10 (250 bps)
$267K Vol.
<1%
9 (225 bps)
9 (225 bps)
$247.06K Vol.
<1%
8 (200 bps)
8 (200 bps)
$321.21K Vol.
1%
7 (175 bps)
7 (175 bps)
$247.88K Vol.
2%
6 (150 bps)
6 (150 bps)
$330.5K Vol.
4%
5 (125 bps)
5 (125 bps)
$240.36K Vol.
6%
4 (100 bps)
4 (100 bps)
$234.17K Vol.
14%
3 (75 bps)
3 (75 bps)
$261K Vol.
24%
2 (50 bps)
2 (50 bps)
$369.28K Vol.
26%
1 (25 bps)
1 (25 bps)
$374.6K Vol.
16%
0 (0 bps)
0 (0 bps)
$727.9K Vol.
8%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).