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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

1T+

86%

900B–1T

1%

800B–900B

1%

700B–800B

<1%

600B–700B

2%

500B–600B

<1%

<500B

<1%

No IPO before 2028

8%

$1,688,428 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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IPOs before 2027?

Discord

94%

Ripple Labs

11%

Ramp

23%

Vanta

24%

OpenAI

53%

Rippling

17%

Remote

17%

Deel

42%

Glean

24%

SpaceX

85%

Applied Intuition

22%

Freddie Mac

25%

Once Upon a Farm

99%

Stripe

14%

Cerebras

85%

Celonis

27%

Anduril

31%

Brex

6%

Anysphere (Cursor)

21%

Mistral AI

12%

Anthropic

63%

Databricks

57%

Fannie Mae

19%

Waymo

17%

Anduril Industries

50%

ByteDance

28%

Epic Games

19%

SHEIN

48%

Revolut

36%

Canva

68%

Ledger

29%

xAI

No

Wealthfront

Yes

$2,985,073 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$3T

11%

>$2.4T

11%

>$2.2T

10%

>$2T

27%

>$1.8T

30%

>$1.6T

39%

>$1.4T

52%

>$1.2T

73%

>$1T

87%

$419,448 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+

11%

1.25T–1.5T

6%

1T–1.25T

8%

750B–1T

10%

<500B

4%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

47%

500–750B

16%

$1,295,660 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Discord

<1%

ByteDance

3%

Stripe

<1%

SpaceX

86%

OpenAI

5%

Kraken

2%

Anthropic

4%

SHEIN

<1%

Waymo

<1%

Revolut

<1%

Perplexity AI

<1%

Databricks

<1%

$65,680 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

84%

chance

$13,962 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

2.0T+

27%

1.8T–2.0T

33%

1.6T–1.8T

12%

1.4T–1.6T

9%

1.2T–1.4T

4%

<1.0T

11%

1.0T–1.2T

4%

No IPO before 2028

6%

$107,243 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

30B+

7%

<15B

37%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

13%

25–30B

12%

20–25B

12%

15–20B

21%

$288,429 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$3B

45%

$2B

57%

$1B

72%

$276,636 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027

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Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

400B+

2%

<200B

<1%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

93%

350–400B

1%

300–350B

<1%

250–300B

<1%

200–250B

3%

$27,984 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026

53%

June 30, 2026

5%

December 31, 2025

No

$965,207 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

600B+

2%

<100B

<1%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

93%

400–600B

<1%

300–400B

<1%

200–300B

1%

100–200B

2%

$444,314 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

250B+

<1%

<100B

<1%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

97%

200–250B

<1%

175–200B

<1%

150–175B

<1%

125–150B

<1%

100–125B

<1%

$125,399 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$28B

18%

$26B

30%

$24B

38%

$22B

45%

$20B

46%

$18B

55%

$16B

50%

$76,958 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027

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Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$7B

6%

$6B

30%

$5B

21%

$4B

41%

$3B

41%

$2B

73%

$1B

79%

$5,651 Vol.

Jan 1, 2028

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SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

December 31

82%

September 30

76%

June 30

60%

March 31

8%

$5,211 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.6T

13%

$1.4T

14%

$1.2T

23%

$1T

65%

$800B

76%

$19,906 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

53%

Goldman Sachs

11%

JPMorgan

15%

Bank of America

20%

Citigroup

<1%

Barclays

<1%

UBS

2%

Deutsche Bank

2%

Wells Fargo

<1%

$307,173 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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OKX IPO in 2026?

21%

chance

$387,536 Vol.

Jan 1, 2027

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SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

93%

chance

$353 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027