US next strikes Iran on...?
$6.8M Vol.
22d
10h
48m
$6,802,603 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 28
February 28
$162.88K Vol.
1%
No strike by February 28
No strike by February 28
$214.01K Vol.
74%
February 27
February 27
$149.65K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$186.41K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$149.73K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$160.5K Vol.
<1%
February 23
February 23
$147.03K Vol.
<1%
February 22
February 22
$152.89K Vol.
<1%
February 21
February 21
$130.01K Vol.
2%
February 20
February 20
$130.21K Vol.
1%
February 19
February 19
$157.04K Vol.
<1%
February 18
February 18
$165.34K Vol.
<1%
February 17
February 17
$166.52K Vol.
<1%
February 16
February 16
$145.25K Vol.
<1%
February 15
February 15
$157.08K Vol.
<1%
February 14
February 14
$148.03K Vol.
2%
February 13
February 13
$212.85K Vol.
2%
February 12
February 12
$157.56K Vol.
1%
February 11
February 11
$174.93K Vol.
1%
February 10
February 10
$171.83K Vol.
2%
February 9
February 9
$174.79K Vol.
1%
February 8
February 8
$201.39K Vol.
1%
February 7
February 7
$230.05K Vol.
3%
February 6
February 6
$261.19K Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$251.3K Vol.
<1%
February 4
February 4
$368.04K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$433.92K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).