
S&P 500 Single-Day Gains and Losses (%) in Q1
$72.32K Vol.
1m
23d
10h
$72,319 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
5% Gain
5% Gain
$2.52K Vol.
4%
5% Loss
5% Loss
$8.91K Vol.
17%
4% Gain
4% Gain
$2.96K Vol.
10%
4% Loss
4% Loss
$5.33K Vol.
20%
3% Gain
3% Gain
$510.86 Vol.
28%
3% Loss
3% Loss
$4.68K Vol.
53%
2% Gain
2% Gain
$8.38K Vol.
59%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.