
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$16.8K Vol.
1m
23d
10h
$16,804 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
10%+
10%+
$1.07K Vol.
6%
8-10%
8-10%
$728.02 Vol.
7%
6-8%
6-8%
$928.38 Vol.
5%
5-6%
5-6%
$1.21K Vol.
5%
4-5%
4-5%
$1.32K Vol.
6%
3-4%
3-4%
$1.39K Vol.
7%
2-3%
2-3%
$1.01K Vol.
11%
0-2%
0-2%
$2.57K Vol.
14%
<0%
<0%
$6.57K Vol.
44%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 (January 1 - March 31).