How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$154.16K Vol.
10m
28d
10h
$154,160 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
>16
>16
$1.95K Vol.
8%
15-16
15-16
$1.78K Vol.
2%
13-14
13-14
$1.5K Vol.
2%
11-12
11-12
$1.82K Vol.
9%
9-10
9-10
$28.6K Vol.
18%
7-8
7-8
$96.42K Vol.
30%
5-6
5-6
$19.89K Vol.
24%
<5
<5
$2.2K Vol.
13%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".