
US next strikes Iran on...?
$6.77M Vol.
22d
12h
15m
$6,767,892 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Outcome
% Chance
February 28
February 28
$161.92K Vol.
1%
No strike by February 28
No strike by February 28
$212.91K Vol.
73%
February 27
February 27
$147.66K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$185.14K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$147.83K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$159.31K Vol.
<1%
February 23
February 23
$145.85K Vol.
<1%
February 22
February 22
$151.65K Vol.
<1%
February 21
February 21
$129.05K Vol.
2%
February 20
February 20
$129.14K Vol.
<1%
February 19
February 19
$155.95K Vol.
<1%
February 18
February 18
$164.07K Vol.
<1%
February 17
February 17
$165.55K Vol.
<1%
February 16
February 16
$144.29K Vol.
<1%
February 15
February 15
$155.96K Vol.
<1%
February 14
February 14
$147.01K Vol.
2%
February 13
February 13
$211.34K Vol.
3%
February 12
February 12
$156.58K Vol.
1%
February 11
February 11
$172.59K Vol.
<1%
February 10
February 10
$170.51K Vol.
1%
February 9
February 9
$173.68K Vol.
1%
February 8
February 8
$199.22K Vol.
2%
February 7
February 7
$227.16K Vol.
3%
February 6
February 6
$258.52K Vol.
2%
February 5
February 5
$247.91K Vol.
<1%
February 4
February 4
$368.04K Vol.
<1%
February 3
February 3
$432.92K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).