PoliticsElectionsSportsCryptoFinanceEarningsGeopoliticsTechCultureWorldEconomyClimate & ScienceMentionsSocials
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Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

7%

chance

$78,923 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Elizabeth Warren

8%

Lisa Murkowski

70%

Bernie Sanders

14%

Kevin Cramer

75%

Thom Tillis

83%

Chuck Schumer

28%

John Kennedy

80%

$2,072 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Jasmine Crockett Texas Senate Race Result

Win Senate Race

4%

Lose Dem Primary

76%

Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race

21%

$15,601 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

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Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

22%

chance

$93,612 Vol.

Jan 3, 2027

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Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5%

chance

$32,195 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

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Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

December 31, 2026

27%

March 31, 2026

7%

December 31

No

October 31

No

$518,332 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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event icon

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

7%

chance

$78,923 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

event icon

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Elizabeth Warren

8%

Lisa Murkowski

70%

Bernie Sanders

14%

Kevin Cramer

75%

Thom Tillis

83%

Chuck Schumer

28%

John Kennedy

80%

$2,072 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

event icon

Jasmine Crockett Texas Senate Race Result

Win Senate Race

4%

Lose Dem Primary

76%

Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race

21%

$15,601 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

event icon

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

22%

chance

$93,612 Vol.

Jan 3, 2027

event icon

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5%

chance

$32,195 Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

event icon

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

December 31, 2026

27%

March 31, 2026

7%

December 31

No

October 31

No

$518,332 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026