Another US government shutdown by February 14?
67%
chance
$355,199 Vol.
Feb 14, 2026
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
1%
chance
$68,526 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
When will DHS receive full-year funding?
February 28
31%
February 13
7%
February 9
1%
$12,467 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
84%
Not Extended & Republican Party
16%
Extended & Republican Party
No
Extended & Democratic Party
No
$381,601 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
7%
chance
$78,923 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
82%
Shutdown & Republican Party
18%
No Shutdown & Democratic Party
No
No Shutdown & Republican Party
No
$294,727 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
45%
June 30, 2026
12%
March 31, 2026
5%
December 31, 2025
No
$78,933 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?
32%
chance
$1,219 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?
5%
chance
$19,300 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Blue wave in 2026?
69%
chance
$11,720 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
9%
chance
$11,506 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
Elizabeth Warren
8%
Lisa Murkowski
70%
Bernie Sanders
14%
Kevin Cramer
75%
Thom Tillis
83%
Chuck Schumer
28%
John Kennedy
80%
$2,072 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Blue tsunami in 2026?
34%
chance
$3,745 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Chris Coons
34%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Rand Paul
45%
Maggie Hassan
36%
John Fetterman
35%
Catherine Cortez Masto
41%
Mark Warner
49%
Jeanne Shaheen
48%
Lisa Murkowski
57%
Susan Collins
44%
Thom Tillis
46%
Tim Kaine
51%
Angus King
46%
Jacky Rosen
52%
Patty Murray
52%
Mike Lee
51%
Rick Scott
46%
Dick Durbin
22%
Ron Johnson
50%
Chuck Schumer
38%
Amy Klobuchar
14%
Chris Murphy
34%
Kirsten Gillibrand
16%
$26,292 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
22%
chance
$93,612 Vol.
Jan 3, 2027
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
18%
chance
$5,464 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
12+
<1%
11
3%
10
3%
9
2%
8
6%
7
13%
6
17%
5
62%
<5
1%
$24,999 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
12%
chance
$3,022 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
5%
chance
$32,195 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
40+
3%
36–39
3%
32–35
10%
28–31
16%
24–27
51%
20–23
14%
<20
12%
$18,134 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026